Sunday, January 29, 2012

Gronk Is Not The Biggest Concern

Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez have combined for one of the most impressive seasons at the tight end position.  They both are so dynamic being able to do many different things for Tom Brady and the Patriots.  They can line up outside, inside, and now even sometimes in the backfield.  The two huge targets have done great this season, but I don't see them being the Giants biggest concern.

Matt Ehalt wrote today, for ESPN New York that you can't forget about the 5'9" 185 pound slot receiver.( http://espn.go.com/blog/new-york/giants/post/_/id/11793/dont-forget-about-welker )

The Giants find their success defensively by getting pressure on the Quarterback.  This instant pressure that the Giants seem to get on every team might not affect the Brady to Welker duo.  Here are 5 key components to the Welker vs. Giants Defense matchup.

1. Welker himself. As Matt Ehalt said in his story, Welker had 11 catches for 103 yards in the Super Bowl in 07'.  He also had 136 yards in the matchup earlier this year.  The two previous games prove that the Giants do have a hard time stopping Welker, if he has a similar game Sunday the Giants will be in trouble.

2. The Giants pass rush.  Although this pass rush looks just as good as it did in 07' if not better, I'm not sure how much it will affect Brady and Welker.  Welker does his work mostly under 10 yards, he's quick and he gets open fast.  The Giants rush must be perfect to take away the quick throws that have made Welker the second leading receiver in the NFL.

3. Gronk.  Will he play? If Gronk isn't his normal self this will be huge.  It also will change who covers Wes Welker.  The Giants are very thin at the corner position having 5 players on injured reserve.  If Gronk isn't 100% they can play pro bowler Antrel Rolle over Welker to slow him down.  If Gronk is fine Welker might see the un-experienced rookie Prince Amukamara. Keep an eye on who is on Welker.

4. Patriots running game.  If the Patriots are not successful running the ball the Giants will look to have an extra safety in at all times.  The Patriots need to be able to run the ball so the Giants keep three linebackers on the field.  This will have Wes Welker running routes off of linebackers instead of an extra defensive back.

5. Deion Branch.  If Branch is not effective and can't get open, look for the Giants to put their number one corner over Welker.  Webster, or Ross might see him if this happens.

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